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Five Breakthroughs in Artificial Intelligence in the Next Five Years
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Whether it's an intelligent speaker that can talk to you or a virtual artist who can draw his own pictures, whether it's a farm management system that can help farmers accurately judge the time of planting and fertilizing, or a facial recognition program that can quickly identify criminals at concert venues, artificial intelligence has begun to be available in all walks of life. It is widely used.
Then, what is the future trend of AI, and how will it affect medical, energy, manufacturing, network security and other industries, as well as our work, life and health? Recently, Neil Jacobstein, director of AI and Robotics Program at Singularity University, made his own prediction. He believes that in the next five years (2019-2024), AI will achieve five breakthroughs.
These breakthroughs include: AI will completely change our understanding of traditional recognition patterns; doctors will increasingly be inseparable from machine learning; quantum computing will greatly improve the efficiency of drug research and development; and AI design systems will help us achieve accurate atomic manufacturing. Of course, cyber attacks will go hand in hand with the development of AI, but they will bring more business opportunities in another way.
1. Artificial Intelligence Initiates New Non-Human Pattern Recognition and Intelligence Achievements
AlphaGo Zero is a machine learning program that is used to train and play complex Go games. In 2017, it beat its predecessor, AlphaGo, 100-0. Not long ago, Alpha Go was attracting worldwide attention for defeating the world champion of human Go in 2016.
Interestingly, Alpha Go Zero does not learn from human games, but through self-confrontation, or "self-learning", which is called reinforcement learning.
Build your knowledge from scratch, without human prejudice - Alpha Go Zero shows a new way to create. More radically, this artificial intelligence pattern recognition allows machines to accumulate thousands of years of knowledge in a matter of hours.
Although these systems cannot answer "What is orange juice?" Or compete with a fifth grader in intelligence, but it is worth noting that they are becoming more and more strategically complex and integrated with other forms of weak AI.
In the next five years, who knows how Alpha Go Zero's "successor" will appear? But to be sure, the new AI will not only enhance business functions, but also bring more convenience to your daily life.
2. Using machine learning for diagnosis and treatment is becoming more and more important to doctors.
A group of Chinese and American researchers recently established an artificial intelligence system that can diagnose common childhood diseases, from influenza to meningitis. Through the training of nearly 600,000 patients and 1.3 million outpatient electronic medical records, the project has produced unprecedented accurate diagnostic results.
In addition, we can see that Dr. Zhang Kang, director of ophthalmic genetics at the University of California, San Diego, has created an artificial intelligence tool that can accurately diagnose blinding retinal diseases and pneumonia. Compared with doctors, this system also shows very high accuracy.
Jacobstein predicts, "We will soon see a turning point where doctors feel that not using machine learning and AI in their daily practice is a risk because they don't want to miss important diagnostic signals."
3. Quantum advantage will greatly accelerate drug design and testing
Researchers estimate that the number of possible drug molecules can reach as many as 10 to the 60th power, which is so large that it even exceeds the number of atoms in the entire solar system. But today's chemists have to predict drugs based on the nature of their molecular structure, and then synthesize many variants to test their hypothesis.
Quantum computing can transform this time-consuming and costly process into an efficient and life-changing mechanism for drug discovery.
"Quantum computing will have a major industrial impact... Not by destroying encryption, but by large-scale parallel processing into the design field, which can use quantum superposition, quantum interference and quantum entanglement, and can greatly exceed classical computing.
4. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Security System Vulnerability and Defense
With the integration of AI into all aspects of our lives, network attacks become more and more threatening. Deep attacks can avoid the control of human and AI by using the content generated by AI.
Without proper protection, AI systems can be manipulated to perform any number of destructive targets, whether it is defamation or the transfer of autopilot.
"Our buildings, families, health care systems, air traffic control, financial organizations, military and intelligence departments all have security systems," Jacobstein said. But as we all know, these systems have been attacked periodically by hackers, and we will see this acceleration. So there are a lot of important business opportunities here, and you have a lot of opportunities to go beyond that curve before it affects you.
5. Artificial Intelligence Design System Promotes Breakthroughs in Precision Manufacturing of Atoms
Just as modern computers have changed our relationship with bits and information, artificial intelligence will redefine and innovate our relationship with molecules and materials.
Artificial intelligence is currently being used to discover new materials in clean technology innovation, such as solar energy.